The 2003 NBA drafts might be one of the best NBA drafts ever. That Draft consisted of the three players above, Melo, Lebron and Wade, with a lot more talent such as Chris Kaman, Chris Bosh, and Josh Howard.
The 1984 NBA draft was not so bad either. There was Hakeem Olajuwon, Charles Barkley, John Stockton, and someone name Michael Jordan aswell.
Now looking back at the 2000 to 2005 rookie drafts for the three major sports, many of the teams did not do so good drafting. When a team has a top 5 pick, that player should end up 5 - 10 years later still on the team, as one of their franchise players, or at the very least a starter on their team or another team, not in retirement, the minor leagues, a bench warmer, or in another league. But exactly how well did the teams do? Here are the 2000 to 2005 rookie drafts for the MLB, NBA, and the NFL. Players in red indicates a successful pick.
2000 MLB Draft:
Adrian Gonzalez
Adam Johnson
Luis Montanez
Mike Stodolka
Justin Wayne
2001 MLB Draft:
Joe Mauer
Mark Prior
Dewon Brazelton
Gavin Floyd
Mark Teixeira
2002 MLB Draft:
Bryan Bullington
BJ Upton
Chris Gruler
Adam Loewen
Clint Everts
2003 MLB Draft:
Delmon Young
Rickie Weeks
Kyle Sleeth
Tim Stauffer
Chris Lubanski
2004 MLB Draft (Success unknown):
Matt Bush
Steven Jarees
Philip Humber
Jeff Niemann
Mark Rojers
2005 MLB Draft:
Justin Upton
Alex Gordon
Jeff Clement
Ryan Zimmerman
Ryan Braun
2000 NBA Draft:
Kenyon Martin
Stromile Swift
Darius Miles
Marcus Fizer
Mike Miller
2001 NBA Draft:
Kwame Brown
Tyson Chandler
Pau Gasol
Eddy Curry
Jason Richardson
2002 NBA Draft:
Yao Ming
Jay Williams
Mike Dunleavy
Drew Gooden
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
2003 NBA Draft:
Lebron James
Darko Milicic
Carmelo Anthony
Chris Bosh
Dwayne Wade
2004 NBA Draft:
Dwight Howard
Emeka Okafor
Ben Gorden
Shaun Livingtson
Devin Harris
2005 NBA Draft:
Andrew Bogut
Marvin Williams
Deron Williams
Chris Paul
Raymond Felton
2000 NFL Draft:
Courtney Brown
LaVar Arrington
Chris Samuels
Peter Warrick
Jamal Lewis
2001 NFL Draft:
Michael Vick
Leonard Davis
Gerrad Warren
Justin Smith
Ladainain Tomlinson
2002 NFL Draft:
David Carr
Juluis Peppers
Joey Harrington
Mike Williams
Quinten Jammer
2003 NFL Draft:
Carson Palmer
Charles Rogers
Andre Johnson
Dewayne Robertson
Terence Newman
2004 NFL Draft:
Eli Manning
Robert Gallery
Larry Fitzgerald
Philip Rivers
Sean Taylor (Rest In Peace)
2005 NFL Draft:
Alex Smith
Ronnie Brown
Braylon Edwards
Cedric Benson
Cadillac Williams
Now here is the success rates of choosing a "good" player between 2000-2005 drafts:
MLB (Not Including 2004 Draft):
48%
NBA:
70%
NFL:
46.67%
Overall: 55.29%
While some teams chose a decent starter with their top 5 pick, most should not be considered a success. For example, the San Diego Chargers drafted Quentin Jammer with the fifth overall pick, but they could of gotten Dwight Freeny instead. So in reality, the success rate of choosing the right player is considerably lower.
Also to note, many of MLB players cannot be considered a successful pick or a failed pick because they might be in the minor leagues and still have a possibility to break through.
In conclusion, NFL teams, at times, have no idea who is right player to draft, while NBA teams have a much better sense in whom to draft, and they should even have a better sense in whom to draft because with the rule of having high school players having to wait one year after graduation to enter the draft, and as for MLB teams, most of the time they need to be extremely lucky to get an All-Star with the a top 5 pick, let alone a major league player.
Guidelines for drafting players (picks 1-5)
-Draft the best overall players which means:
-Never draft based on need
-Never draft based on high potential, unless the opportunity cost is worth it
-Trade your pick for a lower/higher pick to get the desired player
-MLB teams should treasure a lot of more picks than having the top 5 picks
Hopefully the 2006, 2007 and 2008 drafts will learn from history, and have a much higher success rate at picking the right player, especially the NFL.
No comments:
Post a Comment